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Culturecloses in 3mo

Next James Bond actor?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made…

As of 12 September 2026, "No Bond chosen" leads at 21% implied probability (+2.9pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Callum Turner", from 11% to 16%. The event has traded $797.7K in total ($6.7K in the last 24h) with $137.5K of liquidity across 49 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$6.7K
Total volume
$797.7K
Liquidity
$137.5K
Markets
49
31 Dec 2026
CultureCelebritiesMovies

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketNo Bond chosen
Yes21.3¢
24h Chg+2.9pp
Mkt Vol$370.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

49 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.