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Politicscloses in 1mo

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-G…

As of 12 September 2026, "Chris Hipkins" leads at 43% implied probability (+13.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Christopher Luxon", from 57% to 64%. The event has traded $30.3K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $55.9K of liquidity across 34 markets. Trading is due to close on 7 November 2026.

24h volume
$1.3K
Total volume
$30.3K
Liquidity
$55.9K
Markets
34
7 Nov 2026
PoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsNZMain ElectionNew Zealand ElectionNew Zealand

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketChris Hipkins
Yes42.5¢
24h Chg+13.5pp
Mkt Vol$9.9K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

34 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.