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Politicscloses in 1mo

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new gov…

As of 30 October 2026, "Pedro Sánchez" leads at 11% implied probability (+2.3pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $2.5M in total ($192.6K in the last 24h) with $1.5M of liquidity across 58 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 November 2026.

24h volume
$192.6K
Total volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$1.5M
Markets
58
30 Nov 2026
SpainPoliticsElectionsparliamentMain ElectionPedro SanchezGlobal ElectionsSpain ElectionsWorld Elections

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketPedro Sánchez
Yes11.5¢
24h Chg+2.3pp
Mkt Vol$780.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

58 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Next Prime Minister of Spain? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker