Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying another meeting is scheduled in the near future.(see: https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/09/22/witkoff-kushner-attended-us-ir…
As of 7 November 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 44% implied probability (+1.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $1.5M in total ($49.0K in the last 24h) with $149.9K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.