Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or …
As of 14 September 2026, "Donald Trump" leads at 2% implied probability (+0.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $23.9M in total ($46.6K in the last 24h) with $1.7M of liquidity across 71 markets. Trading is due to close on 10 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
71 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.