Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve t…
As of 16 October 2026, "Donald Trump" leads at 9% implied probability. The event has traded $16.2K in total ($665 in the last 24h) with $324.7K of liquidity across 16 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 April 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
16 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.