Nothing Ever Happens: October
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal …
As of 16 October 2026, "Nothing" leads at 92% implied probability (+1.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $3.8K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $15.7K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.