Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. 1. Satoshi moves any Bitcoin This market will resolve to “Som…
As of 12 September 2026, "Nothing" leads at 97% implied probability. The event has traded $16.6K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $14.6K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.