Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during October 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-…
As of 16 October 2026, "1" leads at 11% implied probability (-6.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "3", from 70% to 75%. The event has traded $13.3K in total ($625 in the last 24h) with $34.3K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.