NY-04 House Election Winner
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise ide…
As of 12 September 2026, "Laura Gillen (D)" leads at 93% implied probability. The event has traded $5.0K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $25.1K of liquidity across 8 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
8 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.