NY-17 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Outcome: Conley 15%+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 23 Aug 2026
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the fir…
Probability over time
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6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.