NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list. This market will resolve according to the ma…
As of 12 September 2026, "National 10%+" leads at 1% implied probability. The event has traded $19.8K in total ($22 in the last 24h) with $46.1K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 7 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.