October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for October 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure f…
As of 27 October 2026, ">1.49ºC" leads at 43% implied probability. The event has traded $3.8K in total ($34 in the last 24h) with $3.9K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 2 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.