# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) d…
As of 16 October 2026, "5+" leads at 47% implied probability (-13.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "4", from 16% to 28%. The event has traded $24.2K in total ($42 in the last 24h) with $5.8K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.