Techcloses in 4mo

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Google's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Google" if Google's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are …

24h volume

Total volume

$2.1K

Liquidity

$8.7K

Markets

1 Jan 2027

FinancePrivatesGeminiClaudeBig TechDario AmodeiAIchatgptOpenAIsam altmanAnthropic

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.