OpenAI resumes training by...?
On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announce…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 56% implied probability (-10.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 15", from 11% to 4%. The event has traded $26.7K in total ($828 in the last 24h) with $1.4K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.