OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Outcome: 50%+, 40%+. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 10 Sept 2026
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI “Astra” model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results…
This market settled on 10 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $53.5K across 3 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.