OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
Outcome: September 15, September 11, September 9, September 7, September 6, September 8, September 25, September 4, September 30, October 31, September 5. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 4 Sept 2026
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model refer…
This market settled on 4 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $2.1M across 15 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
15 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.