Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
This market resolves based on the highest monthly S2+ drought area percentage recorded for the state of Minas Gerais across the 2026/27 coffee growing season. For the purpose of this market, the "2026/27 coffee growing season" is defined as the six-month window (September 2026 through February 2027) which corresponds …
As of 24 October 2026, "20% to 39.99%" leads at 29% implied probability. The event has traded $15.7K in total ($8 in the last 24h) with $2.2K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 May 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.