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Politicscloses in 3mo

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is …

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 16% implied probability (-3.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $574.2K in total ($981 in the last 24h) with $13.2K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$981
Total volume
$574.2K
Liquidity
$13.2K
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
PoliticsGeopolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31, 2026
Yes15.5¢
24h Chg-3.5pp
Mkt Vol$188.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.