People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective …
As of 16 October 2026, "No Change" leads at 89% implied probability (+6.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Decrease", from 86% to 90%. The event has traded $8.7K in total ($120 in the last 24h) with $10.1K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.