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Politicscloses in 1mo

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately reso…

As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 12% implied probability (-2.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 86% to 88%. The event has traded $5.8K in total ($231 in the last 24h) with $12.9K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.

24h volume
$231
Total volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$12.9K
Markets
1
1 Dec 2026
resignHegsethPoliticsDepartment of War

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes12.0¢
24h Chg-2.5pp
Mkt Vol$5.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker