polytracker
stale
18+Data only · No predictions · Play responsiblyHow this site works
Politicscloses in 1mo

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately reso…

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$254
Markets
1
31 Oct 2026
resignHegsethPoliticsDepartment of War

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.