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Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date …

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 19% implied probability. The event has traded $158.6K in total ($122 in the last 24h) with $9.9K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$122
Total volume
$158.6K
Liquidity
$9.9K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsWorldCanadaCanadian ElectionPierre

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Yes18.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$158.6K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.