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Politicscloses in 2mo

Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rahul Gandhi is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Rahul Gandhi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involunt…

As of 16 October 2026, "December 31" leads at 33% implied probability (+3.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $4.5K in total ($266 in the last 24h) with $20.6K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$266
Total volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$20.6K
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
IndiaPoliticsCockroach Party

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes33.0¢
24h Chg+3.5pp
Mkt Vol$3.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Rahul Gandhi arrested by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker