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Politicscloses in 3mo

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both the presence outside China and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date,…

As of 17 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 49% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $121 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$121
Markets
3
1 Jan 2027
TechfleeChinaWorldBusinessPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes48.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.