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Politicscloses in 16d

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point by the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the Silver Bulletin Flipr Forecast of the 2026 Senate election gives Republicans a greater than 50% chance to control the United States Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 50.0% chance shall not be sufficient to r…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 16% implied probability. The event has traded $5.6K in total ($34 in the last 24h) with $473 of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$34
Total volume
$5.6K
Liquidity
$473
Markets
4
1 Nov 2026
SenateMidtermsPoliticsNate SilverUS Election

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 31
Yes15.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$2.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker