As of 16 October 2026, "Hormuz Agreement; R Senate" leads at 4% implied probability (-0.9pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $55.8K in total ($5.2K in the last 24h) with $78.8K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 4 November 2026.
24h volume
$5.2K
Total volume
$55.8K
Liquidity
$78.8K
Markets
2
4 Nov 2026
IranSenateMidtermsPoliticsElectionsGeopoliticsUnited StatesStrait of Hormuz
Chart, demo trading & order book
MarketHormuz Agreement; R Senate
Yes4.3¢
24h Chg-0.9pp
24h High—
24h Low—
Mkt Vol$34.2K
Event 24h Vol$5.2K
liveOrder bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
2 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.