Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank o…
As of 16 October 2026, "No change" leads at 70% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "25 bps increase", from 76% to 81%. The event has traded $10.3K in total ($143 in the last 24h) with $6.0K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 8 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.