Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
The second round of the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute differen…
As of 16 October 2026, "Ruas 10-15%" leads at 16% implied probability (+7.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $3.3K in total ($878 in the last 24h) with $34.0K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.