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Politicscloses in 16d

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will b…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 15" leads at 2% implied probability (+0.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 20", from 64% to 77%. The event has traded $5.3K in total ($845 in the last 24h) with $11.5K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$845
Total volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Markets
3
1 Nov 2026
IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi Arabia

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 15
Yes2.3¢
24h Chg+0.3pp
Mkt Vol$2.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.