Russia military action against EU country by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia takes a qualifying military action against an EU member state between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by R…
As of 3 November 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 6% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $324.7K in total ($537 in the last 24h) with $55.7K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
Chart, demo trading & order book
Test this market with $10,000 virtual funds
Free account: paper trade on the real order book, follow whale moves, stack airdrop points.
Start freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.