Politicscloses in 5mo
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine goes into effect by 11:59 PM Eastern European Time (EET) on the specified date and remains continuously in effect for at least 10 calendar days. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A ceasefire refers to any mutually agreed suspension …
24h volume
$3.7K
Total volume
$926.2K
Liquidity
$166.8K
Markets
4
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Peace DealputinzelenskyTrumpUkrainezelenskyy
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
4 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.