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Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If…

As of 5 September 2026, "Person L" leads at 50% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "Mia Fréchette", from 58% to 81%. The event has traded $268 in total ($186 in the last 24h) with $831 of liquidity across 31 markets. Trading is due to close on 5 October 2026.

24h volume
$186
Total volume
$268
Liquidity
$831
Markets
31
5 Oct 2026
WorldCanadaPoliticsElectionsWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsQuebec ElectionsInternational Election Props

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

31 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker