Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directl…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 8" leads at 72% implied probability (+12.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 28", from 60% to 68%. The event has traded $886.6K in total ($2.2K in the last 24h) with $317.3K of liquidity across 31 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
31 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.