Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two electoral lists in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference …
As of 16 October 2026, "United Serbia 10%+" leads at 22% implied probability (-2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Student List 10%+", from 84% to 82%. The event has traded $8.0K in total ($816 in the last 24h) with $39.4K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 25 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.