Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for ever…
As of 14 November 2026, "185+" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $45 of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 23 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.