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Techcloses in 3mo

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness announces that it will cease operations, that Situational Awareness LP will be wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP will be returned, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A conv…

As of 14 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 7% implied probability. The event has traded $147.9K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $11.1K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$147.9K
Liquidity
$11.1K
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
AITechFinanceLeopoldAI Hedge FundLeopold Aschenbrenner

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes6.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$81.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.