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Techcloses in 1mo

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital …

As of 3 November 2026, "November 30" leads at 46% implied probability. The event has traded $101 in total ($147 in the last 24h) with $147 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$147
Total volume
$101
Liquidity
$147
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
AITechFinanceLeopoldAI Hedge FundLeopold Aschenbrenner

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketNovember 30
Yes45.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$81
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker