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Techcloses in 8mo

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that a Biologics License Application (BLA) for intismeran autogene has been submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), or that the FDA has accepted such an application for review, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will re…

As of 16 October 2026, "June 30, 2027?" leads at 68% implied probability (+5.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $62.4K in total ($596 in the last 24h) with $8.1K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$596
Total volume
$62.4K
Liquidity
$8.1K
Markets
2
1 Jul 2027
FDATechCancerModernaSciencevaccine

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketJune 30, 2027?
Yes67.5¢
24h Chg+5.0pp
Mkt Vol$53.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.