Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027…
As of 12 September 2026, "Raphael Glucksmann" leads at 67% implied probability (+1.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Olivier Faure", from 80% to 78%. The event has traded $46.7K in total ($64 in the last 24h) with $85.8K of liquidity across 49 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
49 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.