SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX makes a mobile phone plan available for purchase in the United States between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “SpaceX” refers to the company known as SpaceX at market creation. Changes to the names or brandi…
As of 16 October 2026, "December 31, 2027" leads at 43% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "June 30, 2027", from 28% to 26%. The event has traded $10.5K in total ($87 in the last 24h) with $4.8K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.