SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
As of 14 September 2026, "Chopsticks catch Starship?" leads at 4% implied probability (+0.8pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 19", from 57% to 67%. The event has traded $514.9K in total ($5.5K in the last 24h) with $53.9K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.