Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the People’s Party (PP) and Vox receive a combined total of 50% or more of the valid votes cast in the election to the Congress of Deputies of Spain…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 48% implied probability (-11.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 41% to 53%. The event has traded $3.1K in total ($2.7K in the last 24h) with $27.0K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 30 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.