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Sciencecloses in 6d

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolve…

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Markets
40
3 Sept 2026
WeatherRecurringDrought

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

40 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.