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Politicscloses in 1mo

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry b…

24h volume
$338
Total volume
$338
Liquidity
$16.3K
Markets
1
15 Sept 2026
OilIranHormuzPoliticsGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.