Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner
Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An individ…
As of 4 November 2026, "Thomas Aeschi" leads at 45% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $523 of liquidity across 29 markets. Trading is due to close on 10 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
29 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.