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Politicscloses in 2mo

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syrian troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Syrian troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Syria. Only members of the regular armed forces of Syria will qualify. Foreign fight…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 5% implied probability. The event has traded $4.1K in total ($230 in the last 24h) with $24.8K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$230
Total volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$24.8K
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
SyriaYemenMilitaryPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 31
Yes4.5¢
24h Chg-0.1pp
Mkt Vol$3.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.