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Politicscloses in 3mo

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this mar…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 38% implied probability. The event has traded $137.5K in total ($834 in the last 24h) with $307 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$834
Total volume
$137.5K
Liquidity
$307
Markets
2
1 Jan 2027
ChinaPoliticsWorldTaiwanGeopolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes37.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$12.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.