Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qu…
As of 27 October 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 13% implied probability. The biggest 24h move is "June 30, 2027", from 43% to 48%. The event has traded $1.6M in total ($18.1K in the last 24h) with $95.8K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.